So you're saying there's a chance?

Swingingbunt · Post by **Swingingbunt** » September 26 11, 5:30 am

We don't see Norris?

I just felt some optimism!

Well, either that or gas...but I'm pretty sure it was optimism.

go birds · Post by **go birds** » September 26 11, 7:17 am

I don't wanna see westy anywhere near a mound this week.

Swirls · Post by **Swirls** » September 26 11, 7:51 am

What are our odds at now?

vinsanity · Post by **vinsanity** » September 26 11, 8:03 am

Swirls wrote:What are our odds at now?

36 according to ESPN. 28% by BP.

Faceman · Post by **Faceman** » September 26 11, 10:28 am

Why am I seeing only 11% for STL at BP?

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/odds/

Rnk National League Central
Expected
Win Pct
Sim Win
Sim Loss
Div Pct
WC Pct Sorted Descending
Playoff Pct
1 Day Delta
7 Day Delta
1 Milwaukee Brewers .561 95.4 66.6 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.1%
2 St. Louis Cardinals .536 89.3 72.7 0.0% 11.2% 11.2% 6.7% 7.8%

greenback44 · Post by **greenback44** » September 26 11, 10:34 am

Faceman wrote:Why am I seeing only 11% for STL at BP?

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/odds/

Rnk National League Central
Expected
Win Pct
Sim Win
Sim Loss
Div Pct
WC Pct Sorted Descending
Playoff Pct
1 Day Delta
7 Day Delta
1 Milwaukee Brewers .561 95.4 66.6 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.1%
2 St. Louis Cardinals .536 89.3 72.7 0.0% 11.2% 11.2% 6.7% 7.8%

What's the date last updated? The 28% is for this:

Updated 9:31 am Pac, Sep 26 2011

JoeMcKim · Post by **JoeMcKim** » September 26 11, 3:27 pm

The scary thing about this is if we do win the WC but have to do it with a play in game then in Game 1 of the NLDS it'll be Roy Halladay vs. Edwin Jackson because no one else will be on proper rest.

Dillagii · Post by **Dillagii** » September 26 11, 3:32 pm

JoeMcKim wrote:The scary thing about this is if we do win the WC but have to do it with a play in game then in Game 1 of the NLDS it'll be Roy Halladay vs. Edwin Jackson because no one else will be on proper rest.

There is nothing scary once we reach the playoffs. I want us to get there. Then we will worry abt other stuffs.

Fat Strat · Post by **Fat Strat** » September 26 11, 3:33 pm

JoeMcKim wrote:The scary thing about this is if we do win the WC but have to do it with a play in game then in Game 1 of the NLDS it'll be Roy Halladay vs. Edwin Jackson because no one else will be on proper rest.

Beggars can't be choosers. The Wild Card should have to face an uphill battle. Sucks, but it's the way it is. We can beat the Phillies in a 3 game series. I actually don't mind Jackson against Halladay. Instead of potentially wasting Carp against the best pitcher in baseball, we'll get him later in the series with a chance to clinch. Maybe. I haven't broken the scheduled starters down yet. A bit early for that.

ThatGuy · Post by **ThatGuy** » September 26 11, 3:35 pm

JoeMcKim wrote:The scary thing about this is if we do win the WC but have to do it with a play in game then in Game 1 of the NLDS it'll be Roy Halladay vs. Edwin Jackson because no one else will be on proper rest.

Roy Halladay will remember that game as the day that Edwin Jackson outpitched him.

GatewayRedbirds.com

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