Obama/Biden vs. McCain/Palin

Classic threads for your viewing pleasure.
Locked
User avatar
PujolJunkie
Hall Of Famer
Posts: 10370
Joined: March 22 07, 4:54 pm
Location: north county, stl
Contact:

Re: Obama/Biden vs. McCain/Palin

Post by PujolJunkie »

GatewaySnayke wrote:I think it's time for a contest. Participation is encouraged.

1. Who will win?
2. By how much will that candidate win of the popular vote (i.e. 48-44)
3. What will the final electoral tally be?
1. Obama.
2. 53-46, 1 for other
3. Obama - 368, McCain - 170
Last edited by PujolJunkie on October 29 08, 11:40 am, edited 1 time in total.

maddash
is eerily well-versed on Project Runway and irony
Posts: 8508
Joined: June 26 06, 3:07 pm

Re: Obama/Biden vs. McCain/Palin

Post by maddash »

GatewaySnayke wrote:I think it's time for a contest. Participation is encouraged.

1. Who will win?
2. By how much will that candidate win of the popular vote (i.e. 48-44)
3. What will the final electoral tally be?
I'll be lame and just hitch my wagon to Nate Silver's star.

Obama
52.1% - 46.5%
348.2 - 189.8

Freed Roger
Seeking a Zubaz seamstress
Posts: 26073
Joined: September 4 07, 1:48 pm
Location: St. Louis

Re: Obama/Biden vs. McCain/Palin

Post by Freed Roger »

sighyoung wrote:
maddash wrote:If they call Pennsylvania AND Virgina early for Obama, then McCain's chances are over. He could win Florida, Missouri, Ohio, Colorado, North Carolina, New Mexico... and he'd still come up short.

It's not over until it's over, but I just can't imagine a scenario where McCain pulls this one off. Not without Pennsylvania.
McCain can certainly still win. But some of those states (Iowa, for instance) have been out of play for months.

Hopefully that is the map Obama's campaign is working with too.


I was listening to the tail end of John Zogby on KMOX a while ago and happened across Limbaugh's program. I thought it would be good to listen in-to gain some understanding of where people get their logic. Limbaugh - he was citing the various polls that PJ posts, saying they are getting closer and within a couple %'s. Then he has a theory that new registered voters won't vote. Then he has a theory that people voting for McCain are underpolled because they don't like explaining their vote to liberal pollsters (he may have a point, for many its hard to admit prejudice).

...anyway- listening to Rush is like going into the public restroom thats been stunk up. you try to hold your breath, take care of business then get out - then take a big gulp of air once you've cleared the perimeter.

Rush was actually lucid today - last time I tried to listen during the primaries it was hard to understand his points he was doing his porky pig thing "bbb.ddddeee..llllliberals....ya know,....bbbutt ," But I did manage to gather he hated McCain, in viscerally.

So two questions out of curiousity - are the polls tightening as Limbaugh claims?

And how did Limbaugh rationalize his sudden swing to McCain? (he despised McCain so much, I figure he really really has to have evil terrorist Nancy Pelosi rhetoric against Obama..).
(I'm guessing Limbaugh prefers Obama wins actually ...revive his career much the way Clinton started it. )

User avatar
GatewaySnayke
Hall Of Famer
Posts: 11923
Joined: July 23 06, 11:54 pm
Location: GatewaySnaykebird

Re: Obama/Biden vs. McCain/Palin

Post by GatewaySnayke »

I'm being conservative on what the final tallies will be. I think McCain is going to win in Ohio, Florida and Missouri. It's just hunches I have. My final score is Obama 291-247 and he wins 51-47.

User avatar
MrCrowesGarden
'Burb Boy
Posts: 24841
Joined: July 9 06, 11:33 am
Location: Out of the Loop

Re: Obama/Biden vs. McCain/Palin

Post by MrCrowesGarden »

maddash wrote:
GatewaySnayke wrote:I think it's time for a contest. Participation is encouraged.

1. Who will win?
2. By how much will that candidate win of the popular vote (i.e. 48-44)
3. What will the final electoral tally be?
I'll be lame and just hitch my wagon to Nate Silver's star.

Obama
52.1% - 46.5%
348.2 - 189.8
is the two tenths of an electoral vote reserved for Leroy?

User avatar
PujolJunkie
Hall Of Famer
Posts: 10370
Joined: March 22 07, 4:54 pm
Location: north county, stl
Contact:

Re: Obama/Biden vs. McCain/Palin

Post by PujolJunkie »

Image

User avatar
PujolJunkie
Hall Of Famer
Posts: 10370
Joined: March 22 07, 4:54 pm
Location: north county, stl
Contact:

Re: Obama/Biden vs. McCain/Palin

Post by PujolJunkie »

GatewaySnayke wrote:I'm being conservative on what the final tallies will be. I think McCain is going to win in Ohio, Florida and Missouri. It's just hunches I have. My final score is Obama 291-247 and he wins 51-47.
I could definitely see Missouri and Florida, but Obama has built a steady lead in Ohio. It'll be tough for McCain. Cuyahoga County and the surroundings are going to cripple him.

Socnorb11
The Last Word
Posts: 21899
Joined: June 21 06, 8:45 am

Re: Obama/Biden vs. McCain/Palin

Post by Socnorb11 »

Anybody think that tonight's television appearance will sway some votes in Obama's direction? It'll be interesting to see the polls this weekend.

Freed Roger
Seeking a Zubaz seamstress
Posts: 26073
Joined: September 4 07, 1:48 pm
Location: St. Louis

Re: Obama/Biden vs. McCain/Palin

Post by Freed Roger »

Socnorb11 wrote:Anybody think that tonight's television appearance will sway some votes in Obama's direction? It'll be interesting to see the polls this weekend.
Interesting thought - I think it will do nothing for vast majority of people. But with the small small percent of undecideds - a group that's hard to relate to - who knows.

User avatar
PujolJunkie
Hall Of Famer
Posts: 10370
Joined: March 22 07, 4:54 pm
Location: north county, stl
Contact:

Re: Obama/Biden vs. McCain/Palin

Post by PujolJunkie »

Socnorb11 wrote:Anybody think that tonight's television appearance will sway some votes in Obama's direction? It'll be interesting to see the polls this weekend.
It's really an interesting question because nothing like this has been done since Perot did it with his little "Sit behind a desk and talk" thing. This is a completely different kind of animal.
NORFOLK -- Barack Obama's 30-minute informercial airing Wednesday night will feature vignettes of people and families whom Obama has met during his nearly two-year campaign, and it will include a live component from a campaign rally in Florida, campaign sources said tonight.
I think this could really hit hard to a lot of working class families. And the rally being broadcast over national networks could do for him what his convention speech did for him. Every time he speaks on a national level, whether it be the convention speech, his race speech, whatever it may be, he gets a bounce of significant proportion. And at this point in time, if he gets a spike, it carries 5 days and wham, there's Tuesday. If this goes over extremely well, it could push election day over the top.

Locked