Page 2 of 64
Re: GDT 8/10/10-Cardinals (García) at Reds (Cueto) 6:10 CDT
Posted: August 10 10, 10:50 am
by Leroy
Seriously, does that thing just plug in what is known, but say essentially the same thing every time?
Re: GDT 8/10/10-Cardinals (García) at Reds (Cueto) 6:10 CDT
Posted: August 10 10, 11:06 am
by Secret Weapon
Jocephus wrote:The Cincinnati Reds are 33-24 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the St. Louis Cardinals who are 24-31 on the road this season. The Reds have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Reds' starter Johnny Cueto is forecasted to have a better game than Cardinals' starter Jaime Garcia. Johnny Cueto has a 54% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jaime Garcia has a 45% chance of a QS. If Johnny Cueto has a quality start the Reds has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.7 and he has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 60%. In Jaime Garcia quality starts the Cardinals win 62%. He has a 18% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Scott Rolen who averaged 2.4 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 68% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Jon Jay who averaged 2.37 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 57% chance of winning.
Re: GDT 8/10/10-Cardinals (García) at Reds (Cueto) 6:10 CDT
Posted: August 10 10, 11:08 am
by lukethedrifter
You can always tell whether the Cards are winning by the length of the thread.
Re: GDT 8/10/10-Cardinals (García) at Reds (Cueto) 6:10 CDT
Posted: August 10 10, 11:20 am
by Swingingbunt
The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Jon Jay
Does...not...compute.
Re: GDT 8/10/10-Cardinals (García) at Reds (Cueto) 6:10 CDT
Posted: August 10 10, 11:34 am
by heyzeus
[/quote]
finally, a mate!
Re: GDT 8/10/10-Cardinals (García) at Reds (Cueto) 6:10 CDT
Posted: August 10 10, 1:57 pm
by Fat Strat
Swingingbunt wrote:The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Jon Jay
Does...not...compute.
Right now they're tied in OPS+ and draft history & MiLB stats suggest that Jay will outperform Pujols long term.
BTW, Pujols this month: .484 .500 .935 1.435
That's insane.
Re: GDT 8/10/10-Cardinals (García) at Reds (Cueto) 6:10 CDT
Posted: August 10 10, 2:03 pm
by Magneto2.0
lukethedrifter wrote:You can always tell whether the Cards are winning by the length of the thread.
Depends. We usually have big threads when we lose. Last night, it was a big and we won. lol
Re: GDT 8/10/10-Cardinals (García) at Reds (Cueto) 6:10 CDT
Posted: August 10 10, 2:06 pm
by Joe Shlabotnik
Fat Strat wrote:Swingingbunt wrote:The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Jon Jay
Does...not...compute.
Right now they're tied in OPS+ and draft history & MiLB stats suggest that Jay will outperform Pujols long term.
BTW, Pujols this month: .484 .500 .935 1.435
That's insane.
That's Albert Pujols.
Re: GDT 8/10/10-Cardinals (García) at Reds (Cueto) 6:10 CDT
Posted: August 10 10, 2:23 pm
by vinsanity
Joe Shlabotnik wrote:Fat Strat wrote:BTW, Pujols this month: .484 .500 .935 1.435
That's insane.
That's Albert Pujols.
On Steroids.
Re: GDT 8/10/10-Cardinals (García) at Reds (Cueto) 6:10 CDT
Posted: August 10 10, 2:24 pm
by heyzeus
Fat Strat wrote:Swingingbunt wrote:The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Jon Jay
Does...not...compute.
Right now they're tied in OPS+ and draft history & MiLB stats suggest that Jay will outperform Pujols long term.
BTW, Pujols this month: .484 .500 .935 1.435
That's insane.
Say what you will about the dude, Barry Bonds' 1.422 OPS in 2004 is insane in the mebrane.