Update: HOLLIDAY A CARD 7yr/120 million, p178

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AWvsCBsteeeerike3
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Re: Update: The Matt Holliday Off-Season Thread

Post by AWvsCBsteeeerike3 »

Leroy wrote:
omaha_red wrote:perfect situation
=$
lol that's probably pretty true.


TimeForGuinness
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Re: Update: The Matt Holliday Off-Season Thread

Post by TimeForGuinness »

So he signs for around 18-20 million a year...I think that's what most people have him pegged at. I think I said 5yr/90m at the beginning...my guess is the Cards go as high as 6yr/110-115m.

I still think he ends up a Card.

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Re: Update: The Matt Holliday Off-Season Thread

Post by Fat Strat »

There's so much about that article that I could take issue with. Personally I don't think that Holliday will sign "for 10 to 15 percent less than what Teixeira got, because teams are also a bit skeptical of unadjusted National League numbers". I don't doubt that he could sign for slightly less money but saying that he will BECAUSE teams are skeptical of some still unaccounted for difference between stats procured in the AL vs. NL is ludicrous. I mean, have we ever seen a player get less money just because he played in the NL? Have we seen a player get more money beacuse he played in the AL?

As much as I love fangraphs (and I do love it) this is the type of overanalyzed "statyness" that drives the rest of the baseball community bonkers. IF Holliday gets 10-15% less than Teixera it will be because of a variety of market conditions, the teams involved in the bidding, etc. and most likely have absolutely nothing to do with how the league feels about the adjustments for league that aren't yet built into WAR. Heck, if Texeria had a twin clone on the market today there's no guarantee that he would get within 10-15% of what the real Tiexera got last year.

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Eephus Speed
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Re: Update: The Matt Holliday Off-Season Thread

Post by Eephus Speed »

I agree. While MLB clubs might be increasingly SABR-friendly, I don't think league variance is what will determine the difference between Holliday's contract and Teixeira's.

And I expect Holliday to get more than 10-15% less, unless he signs with the Yankees. 30-40% is more like it.

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Re: Update: The Matt Holliday Off-Season Thread

Post by Jocephus »

Joe Strauss of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports that Cardinals general manager John Mozeliak doesn't want to enter a bidding war for Matt Holliday.
"I think it's fair to say when we present an offer, that's pretty much going to be our position," Mozeliak said. "We're not really interested in becoming involved in a long, drawn-out back-and-forth." Mozeliak met with Scott Boras during the general manager meetings in Chicago this week, but plans to have a face-to-face meeting with Holliday in the very near future. If the process gets drawn out, Mozeliak is prepared to move on with alternatives, including fortifying the starting rotation.
Source: St Louis Post-Dispatch

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omaha_red
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Re: Update: The Matt Holliday Off-Season Thread

Post by omaha_red »

Jocephus wrote:
Joe Strauss of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports that Cardinals general manager John Mozeliak doesn't want to enter a bidding war for Matt Holliday.
"I think it's fair to say when we present an offer, that's pretty much going to be our position," Mozeliak said. "We're not really interested in becoming involved in a long, drawn-out back-and-forth." Mozeliak met with Scott Boras during the general manager meetings in Chicago this week, but plans to have a face-to-face meeting with Holliday in the very near future. If the process gets drawn out, Mozeliak is prepared to move on with alternatives, including fortifying the starting rotation.
Source: St Louis Post-Dispatch
nice knowin' ya, Matt

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clevername
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Re: Update: The Matt Holliday Off-Season Thread

Post by clevername »

would Xavier Nady + John Lackey be > Matt Holliday?

Not that we would actually go get Lackey.

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Re: Update: The Matt Holliday Off-Season Thread

Post by AWvsCBsteeeerike3 »

fortifying the starting rotation?

That sounds made up. You have two aces (albeit one fragile one) and Kyle Lohse. The Cardinals have rarely entered a season with 5 reliable starters.

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Re: Update: The Matt Holliday Off-Season Thread

Post by Fat Strat »

AWvsCBsteeeerike3 wrote:fortifying the starting rotation?

That sounds made up. You have two aces (albeit one fragile one) and Kyle Lohse. The Cardinals have rarely entered a season with 5 reliable starters.
If the Cards can't get Holliday and Bay resigns then they will have to do something to improve the club. Don't forget that we have 2 rotation spots open. We have to sign at least one starter and could easily sign two.

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